{"service":"prediction_divergence","version":"1.0","fetched_at":"2026-11-07T10:49:50.121799+00:00","confidence":1,"active_divergences":1,"high_significance":0,"regime":"MODERATE","divergences":{"btc_price":{"asset":"BTC/USD","polymarket":{"implied_price":76173.17,"median_price":76298.18,"entropy":1.0872,"thresholds":11,"data_timestamp":"2026-11-07T10:28:00.533038+00:00"},"kalshi":{"implied_price":76661.76,"median_price":76634.62,"entropy":5.278,"brackets":48,"window":"26NOV1317","active_brackets":34,"data_timestamp":"2026-11-07T10:35:03.259182+00:00"},"spread":336.44,"spread_pct":0.441,"direction":"kalshi_higher","significance":"moderate","note":"Spread between crypto-native (Polymarket) and regulated (Kalshi) prediction markets on same-day BTC price"},"fed":{"event":"FOMC rate decision","kalshi":null,"polymarket":{"market_id":"fed_no_change_jul26","prob_hold":0.9995,"data_timestamp":"2026-07-29T19:40:36.187087+00:00"},"spread":null,"status":"single_source_only","note":"Both sources needed for divergence — currently only one has active Fed markets"}},"sources":{"kalshi":"regulated","polymarket":"crypto-native"},"note":"Preview. Signature covers regime, active_divergences, high_significance, divergences_count. Per-pair spreads (divergences) and confidence unsigned. Data may be up to 24 hours old.","preview":true,"divergences_count":2,"canonical":"v1|DIVERGENCE-PREVIEW|MODERATE|1|0|2","signature":"3d2fd3aa0c32896515f5637ce3537e4234499ada808dbf87ee09bb8078dacafd3502b661b72cd4757d2d9947d52129fdcee48d8142195a3b65390155c6a2300a","pubkey":"7ab07fbe7d08cd16823e5eb0db0e21f3f38e9366d5fd00d14e95df0fb9b51a1a","signingScheme":"ed25519","signed":true,"preview_cached":true,"cache_age_minutes":53}